IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.3	#255
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.2	#220
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.4	#222

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.9	#284

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.0%	8.1%	3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.8	13.9	14.9

.500 or above	40.6%	76.7%	40.1%
.500 or above in Conference	52.7%	76.0%	52.4%
Conference Champion	3.0%	8.1%	2.9%
Last Place in Conference	7.1%	0.1%	7.2%

First Four	0.5%	0.1%	0.5%
First Round	2.8%	8.1%	2.7%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Texas Tech (Away) - 1.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 9
Quad 4	11 - 7	13 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	13	@ Texas Tech	L	57-81	1%
Nov 08, 2019	33	@ Wisconsin	L	55-75	3%
Nov 12, 2019	351	Chicago St.	W	83-68	92%
Nov 23, 2019	326	Bethune-Cookman	W	78-73	68%
Nov 24, 2019	344	@ Incarnate Word	W	73-68	69%
Dec 04, 2019	241	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	76-80	37%
Dec 07, 2019	167	Green Bay	L	79-81	43%
Dec 14, 2019	250	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	68-71	38%
Dec 16, 2019	283	@ Western Illinois	L	71-72	46%
Dec 21, 2019	137	@ Grand Canyon	L	68-78	21%
Jan 02, 2020	272	@ Tennessee St.	L	73-75	43%
Jan 04, 2020	80	@ Belmont	L	70-85	10%
Jan 09, 2020	274	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	82-84	44%
Jan 11, 2020	264	@ Morehead St.	L	71-74	42%
Jan 16, 2020	216	Jacksonville St.	W	71-70	54%
Jan 18, 2020	310	Tennessee Tech	W	74-67	71%
Jan 23, 2020	258	Tennessee Martin	W	77-74	60%
Jan 25, 2020	294	Southeast Missouri St.	W	76-71	67%
Jan 30, 2020	119	@ Murray St.	L	68-80	17%
Feb 01, 2020	211	@ Austin Peay	L	73-78	33%
Feb 06, 2020	274	Eastern Kentucky	W	85-81	64%
Feb 08, 2020	264	Morehead St.	W	74-71	61%
Feb 13, 2020	324	SIU Edwardsville	W	79-71	75%
Feb 15, 2020	258	@ Tennessee Martin	L	74-77	40%
Feb 20, 2020	119	Murray St.	L	71-77	33%
Feb 22, 2020	211	Austin Peay	W	76-75	53%
Feb 27, 2020	294	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	73-74	48%
Feb 29, 2020	324	@ SIU Edwardsville	W	76-74	57%
Projected Record						13 - 15	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.0	0.5	0.3	0.0		3.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.5	2.5	2.1	1.0	0.2	0.0			7.8	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.6	2.7	3.9	2.3	0.7	0.0					10.3	3rd
4th									0.0	0.8	3.4	4.4	2.1	0.4	0.0						11.2	4th
5th								0.0	0.7	3.6	4.8	2.0	0.3	0.0							11.3	5th
6th							0.0	0.5	3.1	5.1	2.0	0.2	0.0								10.9	6th
7th							0.2	2.6	5.0	2.0	0.3										10.1	7th
8th						0.2	2.1	4.7	2.3	0.3	0.0										9.6	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	1.8	4.0	2.4	0.3	0.0											8.7	9th
10th			0.0	0.2	1.3	3.4	2.1	0.4	0.0												7.4	10th
11th		0.0	0.3	1.5	2.2	1.5	0.3	0.0													5.8	11th
12th	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.3	0.8	0.2	0.0														4.1	12th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.4	2.9	4.4	7.1	8.8	10.7	11.4	11.8	11.0	9.6	8.0	5.6	3.6	2.0	0.8	0.3	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	96.3%	0.3		0.2	0.1
16-2	68.7%	0.5		0.4	0.1	0.0
15-3	47.7%	1.0		0.5	0.4	0.1
14-4	20.9%	0.7		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	4.7%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0		0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.0%	3.0		1.4	1.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		64.6%	50.5%	14.1%	12.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0		28.6%
17-1	0.3%		39.9%	39.9%		12.9												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.2
16-2	0.8%		23.7%	23.7%		13.5													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.6
15-3	2.0%		20.6%	20.6%		14.2													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.6
14-4	3.6%		15.2%	15.2%		14.6													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.1	3.0
13-5	5.6%		10.0%	10.0%		15.0													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	5.0
12-6	8.0%		6.4%	6.4%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	7.4
11-7	9.6%		2.8%	2.8%		15.5															0.0	0.1	0.1	9.3
10-8	11.0%		2.4%	2.4%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.2	10.7
9-9	11.8%		0.8%	0.8%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	11.7
8-10	11.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																0.0	0.0	11.4
7-11	10.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.7
6-12	8.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.8
5-13	7.1%																							7.1
4-14	4.4%																							4.4
3-15	2.9%																							2.9
2-16	1.4%																							1.4
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		3.0%	3.0%	0.0%	14.8												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.0	1.0	97.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%